The Substance (c) MUBI
We’ve been living with the latest Oscar nominations for a week now, and it seems like enough time has passed to now dash the hopes of 80% of them with my predictions of who, at this moment, would win in each category. Next month will give us a better indication, with a lot of industry awards being given out, including the SAG Awards, BAFTA, the Producers Guild and many others. I have ranked the nominees of most likely to least likely to win.
Enjoy!
Dune Part II (c) Warner Bros Studios
The Interested Bystander’s Oscar Predictions
January 2025
Picture
Emilia Pérez
The Brutalist
Anora
A Complete Unknown
Conclave
Wicked
I'm Still Here
The Substance
Nickel Boys
Dune: Part Two
Actress
Demi Moore, The Substance
Fernanda Torres, I'm Still Here
Cynthia Erivo, Wicked
Mikey Madison, Anora
Karla Sofía Gascón, Emilia Pérez
Sing Sing (c) A24
Actor
Timothée Chalamet, A Complete Unknown
Adrien Brody, The Brutalist
Colman Domingo, Sing Sing
Ralph Fiennes, Conclave
Sebastian Stan, The Apprentice
Supporting Actress
Zoe Saldaña, Emilia Pérez
Ariana Grande, Wicked
Isabella Rossellini, Conclave
Monica Barbaro, A Complete Unknown
Felicity Jones, The Brutalist
The Apprentice (c) Briarcliff Entertainment
Supporting Actor
Kieran Culkin, A Real Pain
Edward Norton, A Complete Unknown
Guy Pearce, The Brutalist
Yura Borisov, Anora
Jeremy Strong, The Apprentice
Director
The Brutalist, Brady Corbet
Emilia Pérez, Jacques Audiard
Anora, Sean Baker
A Complete Unknown, James Mangold
The Substance, Coralie Fargeat
Anora (c) NEON
Original Screenplay
Anora
The Brutalist
A Real Pain
September 5
The Substance
Adapted Screenplay
Conclave
Emilia Pérez
Nickel Boys
Sing Sing
A Complete Unknown
The Girl with the Needle (c) MUBI
International Feature Film
Emilia Pérez, France
I'm Still Here, Brazil
The Seed of the Sacred Fig, Germany
The Girl with the Needle, Denmark
Flow, Latvia
Animated Feature Film
Flow
The Wild Robot
Inside Out 2
Wallace & Gromit: Vengeance Most Fowl
Memoir of a Snail
Sugarcane (c) National Geographic Documentary Films
Documentary Feature Film
No Other Land
Soundtrack to a Coup d'Etat
Sugarcane
Black Box Diaries
Porcelain War
Original Score
The Brutalist, Daniel Blumberg
Conclave, Volker Bertelmann
The Wild Robot, Kris Bowers
Wicked, John Powell and Stephen Schwartz
Emilia Pérez, Clément Ducol and Camille
Emilia Pérez (c) Netflix
Original Song
"El Mal" from Emilia Pérez
"The Journey" from The Six Triple Eight
"Like A Bird" from Sing Sing
"Mi Camino" from Emilia Pérez
"Never Too Late" from Elton John: Never Too Late
Cinematography
The Brutalist
Dune: Part Two
Emilia Pérez
Nosferatu
Maria
A Complete Unknown (c) Searchlight Pictures
Costume Design
Wicked
Gladiator II
Nosferatu
Conclave
A Complete Unknown
Film Editing
Emilia Pérez
The Brutalist
Conclave
Anora
Wicked
Conclave (c) Focus Features
Production Design
Wicked
The Brutalist
Dune: Part Two
Nosferatu
Conclave
Sound
Emilia Pérez
Dune: Part Two
A Complete Unknown
Wicked
The Wild Robot
In the Shadow of the Cypress (c) Voce Spettacolo
Animated Short Film
In the Shadow of the Cypress
Wander to Wonder
Beautiful Men
Magic Candies
Yuck!
Documentary Short Film
Death by Numbers
I Am Ready, Warden
Incident
Instruments of a Beating Heart
The Only Girl in the Orchestra
Anuja (c) Netflix
Live Action Short Film
A Lien
Anuja
The Man Who Could Not Remain Silent
I'm Not a Robot
The Last Ranger
Visual Effects
Dune: Part Two
Alien: Romulus
Wicked
Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes
Better Man
A Different Man (c) A24
