A Complete Unknown (c) Searchlight Pictures
On this day of many emotions, I choose to distract myself with the Oscars as Rome and Los Angeles are burning (all metaphors aside, I do have friends who live in LA, and thankfully, most of them have not been touched by the fires, but my thoughts are with those who lost everything including one of my favorite YouTubers, Benji Plant). This is not a runaway hit year, with movies that are not people’s passion picks, but admirable picks. The only movie with a rabid fan base that will make it a dent is most likely The Substance, which would be cool as a body horror movie has never made it to Best Picture, but can it overperform in other categories as well?
There’s also a battle at the bottom half of the Best Picture race with smaller films like Nickel Boys, Hard Truths, Sing Sing and September 5 battling it out. Two years ago, that movie was Women Talking.
The nominations will be announced on Thursday, Jan 23 at 8:30am on ABC as well as Disney+ and Hulu.
Conclave (c) Focus Features
The Interested Bystander’s
Final 2023-24 Oscar Nomination Predictions
Picture
Anora
The Brutalist
A Complete Unknown
Conclave
Dune Part Two
Emilia Pérez
Nickel Boys
A Real Pain
The Substance
Wicked
(possibles)
Hard Truths
Sing Sing
TIB’S HOPEFUL CHOICE: Challengers
Nickel Boys (c) Amazon MGM Studios
Director
Jacques Audiard - Emilia Pérez
Sean Baker - Anora
Edward Berger - Conclave
Brady Corbet - The Brutalist
RaMell Ross - Nickel Boys
Coralie Fargeat – The Substance
James Mangold – A Complete Unknown
TIB’S HOPEFUL CHOICE: Pedro Almodóvar – The Room Next Door
Maria (c) A24
Actress
Cynthia Erivo - Wicked
Karla Sofía Gascón - Emilia Pérez
Marianne Jean-Baptiste – Hard Truths
Mikey Madison - Anora
Demi Moore – The Substance
Angelina Jolie - Maria
Fernanda Torres – I’m Still Here
TIB’S HOPEFUL CHOICE: Saoirse Ronan – The Outrun
Actor
Adrien Brody - The Brutalist
Timothée Chalamet - A Complete Unknown
Daniel Craig - Queer
Colman Domingo - Sing Sing
Ralph Fiennes - Conclave
Jesse Eisenberg – A Real Pain
Sebastian Stan – The Apprentice
TIB’S HOPEFUL CHOICE: Jude Law – The Order
Wicked (c) Universal Pictures
Supporting Actress
Monica Barbaro – A Complete Unknown
Jamie Lee Curtis – The Last Show Girl
Ariana Grande - Wicked
Isabella Rossellini – Conclave
Zoe Saldaña - Emilia Pérez
Michele Austin – Hard Truths
Felicity Jones – The Brutalist
TIB’S HOPEFUL CHOICE: Aunjanue Ellis-Taylor – Nickel Boys
Supporting Actor
Yura Borisov - Anora
Kieran Culkin - A Real Pain
Edward Norton – A Complete Unknown
Guy Pearce – The Brutalist
Jeremy Strong – The Apprentice
Clarence Maclin - Sing Sing
Willem Defoe - Nosferatu
TIB’S HOPEFUL CHOICE: Jonathan Bailey – Wicked
The Brutalist (c) A24
Original Screenplay
Anora
The Brutalist
Hard Truths
A Real Pain
The Substance
Challengers
September 5
TIB’S HOPEFUL CHOICE: My Old Ass
Adapted Screenplay
A Complete Unknown
Conclave
Emilia Pérez
Nickel Boys
Sing Sing
Dune: Part Two
The Room Next Door
TIB’S HOPEFUL CHOICE: Queer
Santosh (c) Metrograph Pictures
International Feature
Emilia Pérez
The Girl with the Needle
I’m Still Here
Santosh
The Seed of the Sacred Fig
Flow
Kneecap
TIB’S HOPEFUL CHOICE: Touch
Documentary Feature
Dahomey
Daughters
The Remarkable Life of Ibelin
Sugarcane
Will & Harper
No Other Land
Soundtrack to a Coup d’Etat
TIB'S HOPEFUL CHOICE: Black Box Diaries
Flow (c) Janus Films
