The Interested Bystander's Final 2023-24 Tony Awards Predictions

Stereophonic (c) Julieta Cervantes

Here are The Interested Bystander’s Final 77th Annual Tony Award Predictions.  I've adopted my percentage formula that I use for the Oscars here as well, just in case you have a Tony Awards Pool in your office.

The Tony Awards will be presented on Sunday, June 16 coming from Lincoln Center and telecast on CBS. Ariana DeBose will be the host. 

Enjoy! 

Best Play 

TONY: Stereophonic by David Adjmi (85%) 
Possible: Mother Play by Paula Vogel (7%) 

TIB: Stereophonic by David Adjmi  

Purlie Victorious (c) Marc J. Franklin

Best Revival of a Play 

TONY: Purlie Victorious (40%) 
Possible: Appropriate by Branden Jacobs-Jenkins (39%) 

TIB: Appropriate by Branden Jacobs-Jenkins 

Best Leading Actress in a Play 

TONY: Sarah Paulson – Appropriate (80%) 
Possible: Rachel McAdams – Mary Jane (7%) 

TIB: Sarah Paulson – Appropriate 

Enemy of the People (c) Emilio Madrid

Best Leading Actor in a Play 

TONY: Jeremy Strong – An Enemy of the People (45%) 
Possible: Leslie Odom – Jr. – Purlie Victorious (40%) 

TIB: Jeremy Strong – An Enemy of the People 

Best Featured Actress in a Play 

TONY: Sarah Pidgeon – Stereophonic (50%) 
Possible: Kara Young – Purlie Victorious (40%) 

TIB: Sarah Pidgeon – Stereophonic 

Appropriate (c) Joan Marcus

Best Featured Actor in a Play 

TONY: Will Brill – Stereophonic (35%) 
Possible: Corey Stoll – Appropriate (30%) 

TIB: Will Brill – Stereophonic 

Best Direction of a Play 

TONY: Kenny Leon – Purlie Victorious (40%) 
Possible: Daniel Aukin – Stereophonic (39%) 

TIB: Daniel Aukin – Stereophonic 

Jaja's African Hair Braiding (c) Matthew Murphy

Best Costume Design of a Play 

TONY: Dede Ayite – Jaja's African Hair Braiding (45%) 
Possible: Emilio Sosa – Purlie Victorious (35%) 

TIB: Enver Chakartash – Stereophonic 

Best Lighting Design of a Play 

TONY: Jiyoun Chang – Stereophonic (55%) 
Possible: Jane Cox – Appropriate (35%) 

TIB: Jiyoun Chang – Stereophonic 

Best Scenic Design of a Play 

TONY: David Zinn – Stereophonic (65%) 
Possible: dots – Appropriate (25%) 

TIB: David Zinn – Stereophonic 

Best Sound Design of a Play 

TONY: Ryan Rumery – Stereophonic (85%) 
Possible: Bray Poor and Will Pickens – Appropriate (5%) 

TIB: Ryan Rumery – Stereophonic 

Hell's Kitchen (c) Marc J. Franklin

Best Musical 

TONY: Hell's Kitchen (45%) 
Possible: Suffs (25%) 

TIB: Illinoise 

Cabaret at the Kit Kat Club (c) Marc Brenner

Best Revival of a Musical 

TONY: Merrily We Roll Along (98%) 
Possible: Cabaret at the Kit Kat Club (1%) 

TIB: Cabaret at the Kit Kat Club 

Best Book of a Musical 

TONY: Hell's Kitchen by Kristoffer Diaz (35%) 
Possible: Suffs by Shaina Taub (25%) 

TIB: The Outsiders by Adam Rapp and Justin Levine 

Suffs (c) Joan Marcus

Best Original Score Written for the Theatre 

TONY: Suffs by Shaina Taub (55%) 
Possible: Days of Wine and Roses by Adam Guettel (10%) 

TIB: Stereophonic by Will Butler 

Best Lead Actress in a Musical 

TONY: Maleah Joi Moon – Hell's Kitchen (65%) 
Possible: Maryann Plunkett – The Notebook (10%) 

TIB: Kelli O'Hara – Days of Wine and Roses 

Merrily We Roll Along (c) Matthew Murphy

Best Leading Actor in a Musical 

TONY: Jonathan Groff – Merrily We Roll Along (95%) 
Possible: Brian d'Arcy James – Days of Wine and Roses (1%) 

TIB: Brody Grant – The Outsiders 

Best Featured Actress in a Musical 

TONY: Lindsay Mendez – Merrily We Roll Along (75%) 
Possible: Shoshana Bean – Hell's Kitchen (5%) 

TIB: Kecia Lewis – Hell's Kitchen 

The Outsiders (c) Matthew Murphy

Best Featured Actor in a Musical 

TONY: Daniel Radcliffe – Merrily We Roll Along (90%) 
Possible: Joshua Boone – The Outsiders (2%)  

TIB: Daniel Radcliffe – Merrily We Roll Along 

Best Direction of a Musical 

TONY: Maria Friedman – Merrily We Roll Along (80%) 
Possible: Michael Greif – Hell's Kitchen (5%) 

TIB: Danya Taymor – The Outsiders 

The Great Gatsby (c) Matthew Murphy and Evan Zimmerman

Best Costume Design of a Musical 

TONY: Paul Tazewell – Suffs (40%) 
Possible: Linda Cho – The Great Gatsby (30%) 

 

TIB: Paul Tazewell – Suffs 

Water for Elephant (c) Matthew Murphy

Best Lighting Design of a Musical 

TONY: Bradley King and David Bengali – Water for Elephants (35%) 
Possible: Brian MacDevitt and Hana S. Kim – The Outsiders (30%) 

 

TIB: Brian MacDevitt and Hana S. Kim – The Outsiders 

Best Scenic Design of a Musical 

TONY: Tom Scutt – Cabaret at the Kit Kat Club (30%) 
Possible: David Korins – Here Lies Love (25%) 

TIB: Tim Hatley and Finn Ross – Back To The Future: The Musical 

Best Sound Design of a Musical 

TONY: Kai Harada – Merrily We Roll Along (40%) 
Possible: M.L. Dogg and Cody Spencer – Here Lies Love (25%) 

TIB: M.L. Dogg and Cody Spencer – Here Lies Love 

 

Illinoise (c) Matthew Murphy

Best Choreography 

TONY: Justin Peck – Illinoise (80%) 
Possible: Camille A. Brown – Hell's Kitchen (10%) 

TIB: Justin Peck – Illinoise 

Best Orchestrations 

TONY: Tom Kitt and Adam Blackstone – Hell's Kitchen (30%) 
Possible: Will Butler and Justin Craig – Stereophonic (20%) 

TIB: Timo Andres – Illinoise

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