Tuesday, February 13, 2024

The Interested Bystander’s Oscar Predictions: February 2024

The Holdovers (c) Focus Features


We are in the final stretch for Oscars. This is the time for you lovely lot to catch up on all the nominees and make up your minds on which film is most deserving and which one is your favorite (most of the time, the two don’t match up). We did find out who the DGA chose this weekend (congrats to Christopher Nolan), but we also have the Independent Spirit Awards, PGA Awards and the SAG Awards coming up to keep us occupied until the Oscars on Sunday, March 10. Here are my predictions of who will the Oscars as of today, in order of likelihood to win. My next Oscars predictions at the beginning of March will even more specific with percentages, like last year (you can see how well I did here). 


Enjoy. 




Anatomy of a Fall (c) NEON


The Interested Bystander’s Oscar Predictions 
February 2024 



Best Picture 

Oppenheimer 
The Holdovers 
Poor Things 
Barbie 
Anatomy of a Fall 
Killers of the Flower Moon 
American Fiction 
The Zone of Interest 
Past Lives 
Maestro 




Director 

Christopher Nolan — Oppenheimer 
Martin Scorsese — Killers of the Flower Moon 
Yorgos Lanthimos — Poor Things 
Jonathan Glazer — The Zone of Interest 
Justine Triet — Anatomy of a Fall 




Actress in a Leading Role 

Lily Gladstone — Killers of the Flower Moon 
Emma Stone — Poor Things 
Sandra Hüller — Anatomy of a Fall 
Annette Bening — Nyad 
Carey Mulligan — Maestro 


Rustin (c) Netflix

Actor in a Leading Role 

Cillian Murphy — Oppenheimer 
Paul Giamatti — The Holdovers 
Jeffrey Wright — American Fiction 
Bradley Cooper — Maestro 
Colman Domingo — Rustin 




Actress in a Supporting Role 

Da’Vine Joy Randolph — The Holdovers 
Danielle Brooks — The Color Purple 
Emily Blunt — Oppenheimer 
Jodie Foster — Nyad 
America Ferrera — Barbie 




Actor in a Supporting Role 

Robert Downey Jr. — Oppenheimer 
Ryan Gosling — Barbie 
Mark Ruffalo — Poor Things 
Sterling K. Brown — American Fiction 
Robert De Niro — Killers of the Flower Moon 


May December (c) Netflix


Writing (Original Screenplay) 

Anatomy of a Fall 
The Holdovers 
Past Lives 
May December 
Maestro 




Writing (Adapted Screenplay) 

Oppenheimer 
Barbie 
Poor Things 
American Fiction 
The Zone of Interest 




International Feature Film 

The Zone of Interest 
The Teachers’ Lounge  
Perfect Days 
Society of the Snow 
Io Capitano 



Robot Dreams (c) NEON


Animated Feature Film 

The Boy and the Heron 
Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse 
Robot Dreams 
Nimona 
Elemental 




Documentary Feature

20 Days in Mariupol 
Four Daughters 
The Eternal Memory 
To Kill a Tiger 
Bobi Wine: The People’s President 




Music (Original Score) 

Oppenheimer 
Poor Things 
Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny 
Killers of the Flower Moon 
American Fiction 



American Symphony (c) Netflix

Music (Original Song) 

"What Was I Made For?" — Barbie 
"I’m Just Ken" — Barbie 
"Wahzhazhe (A Song for My People)" — Killers of the Flower Moon 
"It Never Went Away" — American Symphony 
"The Fire Inside" — Flamin’ Hot 




Cinematography 

Oppenheimer 
Poor Things 
Killers of the Flower Moon 
Maestro 
El Conde 


Barbie (c) Warner Bros

Costume Design 

Poor Things 
Barbie 
Oppenheimer 
Killers of the Flower Moon 
Napoleon 




Film Editing 

Oppenheimer 
Poor Things 
Killers of the Flower Moon 
Anatomy of a Fall 
The Holdovers 

 
Napoleon (c) Apple TV+

Production Design 

Poor Things 
Barbie 
Oppenheimer 
Killers of the Flower Moon 
Napoleon 



Sound 

Oppenheimer 
The Zone of Interest 
Mission: Impossible – Dead Reckoning Part 1 
Maestro 
The Creator 




Short Film (Animated) 

Letter to a Pig 
Pachyderme 
War is Over! Inspired by the Music of John Lennon and Yoko Ono 
Ninety-Five Senses 
Our Uniform 


The ABCs of Book Banning (c) MTV Documentary Films


Short Film (Documentary) 

The Barber of Little Rock 
Năi Nai & Wài Pó 
The Last Repair Shop 
Island In Between 
The ABCs of Book Banning 




Short Film (Live Action) 

The Wonderful Story of Henry Sugar 
Red, White and Blue 
Knight of Fortune 
The After 
Invincible 


Golda (c) Bleecker Street


Makeup and Hairstyling 

Poor Things 
Oppenheimer 
Maestro 
Golda 
Society of the Snow 




Visual Effects 

Godzilla Minus One 
Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3 
Mission: Impossible – Dead Reckoning Part 1 
Napoleon 
The Creator





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