New York, New York (c) Paul Kolnik
Final Tony Predictions: May 2023
Here are my Tony Award prediction and one runner-up (with percentage of likelihood) in all the categories as well as The Interested Bystander’s own preference if I was a Tony voter. Unlike the Oscars this year, there are no slam dunks (90% and higher) and it’s a lot harder to predict than usual. There’s even one tie in the runner-ups, that’s how close some of these categories are.
And thanks to the Writers Guild for allowing the Tony Awards to be telecast with no picket lines. If it weren’t not for the writers, there would be no entertainment to enjoy, let alone Broadway. I stand with them.
TIB'S FINAL 2022-2023 Tony Award Predictions
Best Play
TONY: Leopoldstadt by Tom Stoppard (35%)
RUNNER-UP: Cost of Living by Martyna Majok (25%)
TIB: Leopoldstadt by Tom Stoppard
Kimberly Akimbo (c) Joan Marcus
Best Musical
TONY: Kimberly Akimbo (40%)
RUNNER-UP: Some Like It Hot (35%)
TIB: Kimberly Akimbo
Best Revival of a Play
TONY: A Doll’s House (60%)
RUNNER-UP: The Sign in Sidney Brustein’s Window (20%)
TIB: Suzan-Lori Parks’ Topdog/Underdog
Best Revival of a Musical
TONY: Sweeney Todd: The Demon Barber of Fleet Street (55%)
RUNNER-UP: Parade (25%)
TIB: Sweeney Todd: The Demon Barber of Fleet Street
Best Book of a Musical
TONY: Kimberly Akimbo by David Lindsay-Abaire (60%)
RUNNER-UP: Some Like It Hot by Matthew López & Amber Ruffin (20%)
TIB: Kimberly Akimbo by David Lindsay-Abaire
Some Like It Hot (c) Matthew Murphy
Best Original Score (Music and/or Lyrics)
TONY: Some Like It Hot by Scott Wittman & Marc Shaiman (40%)
RUNNER-UP: Kimberly Akimbo by Jeanine Tesori & David Lindsay-Abaire (35%)
TIB: Almost Famous by Cameron Crowe & Tom Kitt
Best Actor in a Play
TONY: Stephen McKinley Henderson – Between Riverside and Crazy (40%)
RUNNER-UP: Sean Hayes – Good Night, Oscar (30%)
TIB: Yahya Abdul-Mateen II – Suzan-Lori Parks’ Topdog/Underdog
Prima Facie (c) Bronwen Sharp
Best Actress in a Play
TONY: Jodie Comer – Prima Facie (60%)
RUNNER-UP: Jessica Chastain – A Doll’s House (35%)
TIB: Audra McDonald – Ohio State Murders
Best Actor in a Musical
TONY: J. Harrison Ghee – Some Like It Hot (45%)
RUNNER-UP: Josh Groban – Sweeney Todd: The Demon Barber of Fleet Street (30%)
TIB: J. Harrison Ghee – Some Like It Hot
Best Actress in a Musical
TONY: Annaleigh Ashford – Sweeney Todd: The Demon Barber of Fleet Street (35%)
RUNNER-UP: Victoria Clark – Kimberly Akimbo (34%)
TIB: Victoria Clark – Kimberly Akimbo
Best Featured Actor in a Play
TONY: Brandon Uranowitz – Leopoldstadt (65%)
RUNNER-UP: Arian Moayed – A Doll’s House (20%)
TIB: Brandon Uranowitz – Leopoldstadt
The Sign in Sidney Brustein's Window (c) Julieta Cervantes
Best Featured Actress in a Play
TONY: Miriam Silverman – The Sign in Sidney Brustein’s Window (34%)
RUNNER-UP (tie): Crystal Lucas-Perry – Ain’t No Mo’ (33%)
RUNNER-UP (tie): Katy Sullivan – Cost of Living (33%)
TIB: Crystal Lucas-Perry – Ain’t No Mo’
Best Featured Actor in a Musical
TONY: Alex Newell – Shucked (45%)
RUNNER-UP: Justin Cooley – Kimberly Akimbo (35%)
TIB: Justin Cooley – Kimberly Akimbo
Best Featured Actress in a Musical
TONY: Bonnie Milligan – Kimberly Akimbo (75%)
RUNNER-UP: Betsy Wolfe – & Juliet (15%)
TIB: Bonnie Milligan – Kimberly Akimbo
Leopoldstadt (c) Joan Marcus
Best Director of a Play
TONY: Patrick Marber – Leopoldstadt (40%)
RUNNER-UP: Max Webster – Life of Pi (35%)
TIB: Patrick Marber – Leopoldstadt
Best Director of a Musical
TONY: Michael Arden – Parade (40%)
RUNNER-UP: Casey Nicholaw – Some Like It Hot (35%)
TIB: Casey Nicholaw – Some Like It Hot
Best Costume Design of a Play
TONY: Life of Pi (55%)
RUNNER-UP: Leopoldstadt (35%)
TIB: Life of Pi
Best Costume Design of a Musical
TONY: Some Like It Hot (35%)
RUNNER-UP: & Juliet (30%)
TIB: & Juliet
Life of Pi (c) Matthew Murphy & Evan Zimmerman
Best Lighting Design of a Play
TONY: Life of Pi (40%)
RUNNER-UP: A Doll’s House (25%)
TIB: Life of Pi
Best Lighting Design of a Musical
TONY: Sweeney Todd: The Demon Barber of Fleet Street (45%)
RUNNER-UP: New York, New York (25%)
TIB: Sweeney Todd: The Demon Barber of Fleet Street
Best Scenic Design of a Play
TONY: Life of Pi (30%)
RUNNER-UP: Leopoldstadt (25%)
TIB: Life of Pi
Sweeney Todd: The Demon Barber of Fleet St (c) Matthew Murphy & Evan Zimmerman
Best Scenic Design of a Musical
TONY: Sweeney Todd: The Demon Barber of Fleet Street (55%)
RUNNER-UP: New York, New York (20%)
TIB: Sweeney Todd: The Demon Barber of Fleet Street
Best Sound Design of a Play
TONY: Life of Pi (35%)
RUNNER-UP: Prima Facie (15%)
TIB: Life of Pi
Best Sound Design of a Musical
TONY: Sweeney Todd: The Demon Barber of Fleet Street (55%)
RUNNER-UP: New York, New York (25%)
TIB: Into the Woods
Best Choreography
TONY: Some Like It Hot (65%)
RUNNER-UP: New York, New York (20%)
TIB: New York, New York
& Juliet (c) Matthew Murphy
Best Orchestrations
TONY: & Juliet (45%)
RUNNER-UP: Some Like It Hot (30%)
TIB: & Juliet
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