Tuesday, January 31, 2023

Oscar Predictions - January 2023

Top Gun: Maverick (c) Paramount Pictures


The Interested Bystander's Oscar Predictions (Ranked) 


Welcome to the first Oscar prediction column of the year. Now the nominations have been released, Oscar voters will be catching up on movies they missed, which is probably why “CODA” turned out to be a consensus alternative pick to “The Power of the Dog” last year. So, even though it feels like “Everything Everywhere All at Once” is the frontrunner with its 11 nominations, anything can happen. So, here is how I see the race shaping up to be at this moment, a week after the nominations announcement.



Best Picture 

Everything Everywhere All at Once 
The Fabelmans 
The Banshees of Inisherin 
Top Gun: Maverick 
Avatar: The Way of Water 
Tár 
Elvis 
Triangle of Sadness 
All Quiet on the Western Front 
Women Talking 



Best Directing 

The Fabelmans, Steven Spielberg 
Everything Everywhere All at Once, Daniel Kwan and Daniel Scheinert 
The Banshees of Inisherin, Martin McDonagh 
Tár, Todd Field 
Triangle of Sadness, Ruben Östlund 


Best Actress

Cate Blanchett - Tár 
Michelle Yeoh - Everything Everywhere All at Once 
Andrea Riseborough - To Leslie 
Ana de Armas - Blonde 
Michelle Williams - The Fabelmans 


Best Actor 

Colin Farrell - The Banshees of Inisherin 
Brendan Fraser - The Whale 
Austin Butler - Elvis 
Bill Nighy - Living 
Paul Mescal - Aftersun 


The Whale (c) A24

Best Supporting Actress 

Angela Bassett - Black Panther: Wakanda Forever 
Jamie Lee Curtis - Everything Everywhere All at Once 
Kerry Condon - The Banshees of Inisherin 
Hong Chau - The Whale 
Stephanie Hsu - Everything Everywhere All at Once 


Best Supporting Actor 

Ke Huy Quan - Everything Everywhere All at Once 
Brendan Gleeson - The Banshees of Inisherin 
Judd Hirsch - The Fabelmans 
Brian Tyree Henry - Causeway 
Barry Keoghan - The Banshees of Inisherin 


Best Original Screenplay 

The Banshees of Inisherin 
Everything Everywhere All at Once 
Tár 
The Fabelmans 
Triangle of Sadness 


Glass Onion (c) Netflix

Best Adapted Screenplay 

Women Talking 
Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery 
Living 
All Quiet on the Western Front 
Top Gun: Maverick 


Best International Feature 

All Quiet on the Western Front, Germany 
EO, Poland 
Argentina, 1985, Argentina 
The Quiet Girl, Ireland 
Close, Belgium 


The Sea Beast (c) Netflix

Best Animated Feature 

Guillermo del Toro's Pinocchio 
Marcel the Shell with Shoes On 
Puss in Boots: The Last Wish 
Turning Red 
The Sea Beast 


Best Documentary Feature

Navalny 
Fire of Love 
All the Beauty and the Bloodshed 
All That Breathes 
A House Made of Splinters 


Best Original Score 

Babylon, Justin Hurwitz 
The Fabelmans, John Williams 
The Banshees of Inisherin, Carter Burwell 
All Quiet on the Western Front, Volker Bertelmann 
Everything Everywhere All at Once, Son Lux 


Best Original Song 

Naatu Naatu from RRR 
By M.M. Keeravaani & Chandrabose

 
Hold My Hand from Top Gun: Maverick 
By Lady Gaga & BloodPop 


This Is a Life from Everything Everywhere All at Once 
By Ryan Lott, David Byrne and Mitski


Lift Me Up from Black Panther: Wakanda Forever 
By Tems, Rihanna, Ryan Coogler and Ludwig Goransson


Applause from Tell It like a Woman 
By Diane Warren 


Bardo (c) Netflix

Best Cinematography 

All Quiet on the Western Front 
Elvis 
Bardo, False Chronicle of a Handful of Truths 
Empire of Light 
Tár 
 

Best Costume Design 

Black Panther: Wakanda Forever 
Elvis 
Babylon 
Everything Everywhere All at Once 
Mrs. Harris Goes to Paris 


Best Film Editing 

Top Gun: Maverick 
Everything Everywhere All at Once 
Elvis 
The Banshees of Inisherin 
Tár 


Best Production Design 

All Quiet on the Western Front 
Babylon 
The Fabelmans 
Avatar: The Way of Water 
Elvis 


Best Sound 

Top Gun: Maverick 
All Quiet on the Western Front 
Avatar: The Way of Water 
The Batman 
Elvis 


The Boy, the Mole, the Fox and the Horse (c) Disney+

Best Animated Short Film 

The Boy, the Mole, the Fox and the Horse 
My Year of Dicks 
An Ostrich Told Me the World Is Fake and I Think I Believe It 
Ice Merchants 
The Flying Sailor 


Best Live Action Short Film 

Le Pupille 
An Irish Goodbye 
Ivalu 
Night Ride 
The Red Suitcase 


Best Documentary Short Subject 

Haulout 
The Elephant Whisperers 
The Martha Mitchell Effect 
How Do You Measure a Year? 
Stranger at the Gate 


Black Panther: Wakanda Forever (c) Disney, Marvel Studios

Best Makeup and Hairstyling 

The Whale 
Elvis 
Black Panther: Wakanda Forever 
All Quiet on the Western Front 
The Batman 


Best Visual Effects 

Avatar: The Way of Water 
All Quiet on the Western Front 
Top Gun: Maverick 
The Batman 
Black Panther: Wakanda Forever




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