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Elvis (c) Warner Bros Picture
It’s finally here. The Oscar nominations will be announced on Tuesday, Jan 24th at 8:30am ET. And ever since September, I have been putting out my guesses as to who will get nominated. I have dropped some people who I thought were front runners like Anthony Hopkins in “Armageddon Time” and Vicky Krepes from “Corsage” as well as switcheroo categories as I thought possibly Brendan Gleason might get nominated for Actor alongside Colin Farrell for “The Banshees of Inisherin” but that does seem unlikely now. I do think there’s a chance Michelle Williams might get nominated for “The Fabelmans” in Supporting Actress since her shot at Best Actress is the most tenuous. But I've predicted “RRR” to get a Best Picture nomination since September, and I will stick to that.
So, here, finally, are my predictions of who will be nominated for an Academy Award in for the film year 2022, along with two longshots in each category.
Best Picture:
Frontrunners:
All Quiet on the Western Front
Avatar: The Way of Water
The Banshees of Inisherin
Everything Everywhere All at Once
Elvis
The Fabelmans
RRR
TÁR
Top Gun: Maverick
Women Talking
Possible:
Babylon
The Whale
Best Director
Everything Everywhere All At Once (c) A24
Frontrunners:
James Cameron – Avatar: The Way of Water
Todd Field – TÁR
Dan Kwan and Daniel Scheinert – Everything Everywhere All at Once
Martin McDonagh – The Banshees of Inisherin
Steven Spielberg – The Fabelmans
Possible:
Edward Berger – All Quiet on the Western Front
S.S. Rajamouli – RRR
Best Actor
Frontrunners:
Austin Butler – Elvis
Colin Farrell – The Banshees of Inisherin
Brendan Fraser – The Whale
Paul Mescal – Aftersun
Bill Nighy – Living
Possible:
Jeremy Pope – The Inspection
Adam Sandler – Hustle
Best Actress
Frontrunners:
Cate Blanchett – TÁR
Viola Davis – The Woman King
Danielle Deadwyler – Till
Michelle Williams – The Fabelmans
Michelle Yeoh – Everything Everywhere All at Once
Possible:
Ana de Armis – Blonde
Andrea Riseborough – To Leslie
Best Supporting Actor
The Fabelmans (c) Universal Pictures
Frontrunners:
Paul Dano – The Fabelmans
Brendan Gleeson – The Banshees of Inisherin
Barry Keoghan – The Banshees of Inisherin
Ke Huy Quan – Everything Everywhere All at Once
Eddie Redmayne – The Good Nurse
Possible: Woody Harrison – Triangle of Sadness
Ben Whishaw – Women Talking
Ben Whishaw – Women Talking
Best Supporting Actress
Frontrunners:
Angela Bassett – Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
Hong Chau – The Whale
Kerry Condon – The Banshees of Inisherin
Jamie Lee Curtis – Everything Everywhere All at Once
Carey Mulligan – She Said
Possible:
Dolly De Leon – Triangle of Sadness
Stephanie Hsu – Everything Everywhere All at Once
Best Original Screenplay
Triangle of Sadness (c) NEON
Frontrunners:
The Banshees of Inisherin
Everything Everywhere All at Once
The Fabelmans
TÁR
Triangle of Sadness
Possible:
Aftersun
Nope
Best Adapted Screenplay
Frontrunners:
All Quiet on the Western Front
Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery
Living
The Whale
Women Talking
Possible:
White Noise
She Said
International Feature
Argentina, 1985 (c) Amazon Studios
Frontrunners:
Belgium, Close
Germany, All Quiet on the Western Front
Mexico, Bardo, False Chronicle of a Handful of Truths
Poland, EO
South Korea, Decision to Leave
Possible:
Argentina, Argentina, 1985
France, Saint Omer
Animated Feature
Turning Red (c) Disney Pixar
Frontrunners:
Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio
Marcel the Shell with Shoes On
Minions: The Rise of Gru
Puss in Boots: The Last Wish
Turning Red
Possible:
Apollo 10 1/2 A Space Age Childhood
Wendell & Wild
Documentary Feature
Frontrunners:
All That Breathes
All the Beauty and the Bloodshed
Descendant
Fire of Love
Navalny
Possible:
The Janes
Moonage Daydream
Music (Original Score)
Frontrunners:
Volker Bertelman, All Quiet on the Western Front
Carter Burwell, The Banshees of Inisherin
Hildur Guðnadóttir, Women Talking
Justin Hurwitz, Babylon
John Williams. The Fabelmans
Possible:
Terence Blanchard, The Woman King
Alexandre Desplat, Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio
Music (Original Song)
Top Gun: Maverick (c) Warner Bros Pictures
Frontrunners:
“Good Afternoon” from Spirited
“Hold My Hand” from Top Gun: Maverick
“Lift Me Up” from Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
“Naatu Naatu” from RRR
“Til You’re Home” from A Man Called Otto
Possible:
“Ciao Papa” from Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio
“New Body Rhumba” from White Noise
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