The Interested Bystander’s Oscar Prediction: October 2022

Babylon (c) Paramount Pictures

With most of the major film festivals done, studios are gearing up to promote their greatest (and most popular) films for awards consideration. As opposed to my September, ridiculously early predictions, I did have to drop a couple of the early, sight unseen choices and add some more Oscar bait titles. 

Enjoy. 

Picture: 

Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery (c) Netflix

Frontrunners: 
“The Banshees of Inisherin” 
“Babylon” 
“Bardo” 
“Everything Everywhere All at Once” 
“The Fabelmans” 
“Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery” 
“RRR” 
“Top Gun: Maverick” 
“TÁR” 
“Women Talking” 

 Possible: 
“Avatar: The Way of Water” 
“Armageddon Time” 
“Decision to Leave” 
“Elvis” 
“Empire of Light” 
“Triangle of Sadness” 

Director: 

Everything Everywhere All at Once (c) A24

Frontrunners: 
Todd Field – “TAR” 
Dan Kwan and Daniel Scheinert – “Everything Everywhere All at Once” 
Martin McDonagh – “The Banshees of Inisherin” 
Sarah Polley – “Women Talking” 
Steven Spielberg – “The Fabelmans” 

Possible: 
James Cameron – “Avatar: The Way of Water” 
Alejandro González Iñárritu – “Bardo” 
Baz Luhrmann – “Elvis” 
Park Chan-wook – “Decision to Leave” 
S.S. Rajamouli – “RRR” 

Actor: 

The Banshees of Inisherin (c) Searchlight Pictures

Frontrunners: 
Colin Farrell – “The Banshees of Inisherin” 
Brendan Fraser – “The Whale” 
Brendan Gleeson – “The Banshees of Inisherin” 
Bill Nighy – “Living” 
Jeremy Pope – “The Inspection” 

Possible: 
Austin Butler – “Elvis” 
Timothée Chalamet – “Bones and All” 
Paul Mescal – “Aftersun” 
Park Hae-il – “Decision to Leave” 
Adam Sandler – “Hustle” 

Actress: 

Till (c) United Artists Releasing

Frontrunners: 
Cate Blanchett – “TÁR” 
Viola Davis – “The Woman King” 
Danielle Deadwyler - “Till” 
Michelle Williams – “The Fabelmans” 
Michelle Yeoh – “Everything Everywhere All at Once” 

Possible: 
Olivia Colman – “Empire of Light” 
Ana de Armis – “Blonde” 
Vicky Krieps – “Corsage” 
Jennifer Lawrence – “Causeway” 
Emma Thompson – “Good Luck to You, Leo Grande” 

S. Actor:

The Good Nurse (c) Netflix

Frontrunners: 
Paul Dano – “The Fabelmans” 
Judd Hirsch – “The Fabelmans” 
Anthony Hopkins – “Armageddon Time” 
Barry Keoghan – “The Banshees of Inisherin” 
Ke Huy Quan – “Everything Everywhere All at Once” 

Possible: 
Brian Tyree Henry – “Causeway” 
Brad Pitt – “Babylon” 
Eddie Redmayne - "The Good Nurse"
Mark Rylance – “Bones and All” 
Steven Yuen – “Nope” 

S. Actress: 

Women Talking (c) Michael Gibson

Frontrunners: 
Jessie Buckley – “Women Talking” 
Claire Foy – “Women Talking” 
Jamie Lee Curtis – “Everything Everywhere All at Once” 
Emma Thompson – “Roald Dahl’s Mathilda” 
Gabrielle Union – “The Inspection” 

Possible: 
Patricia Clarkson – “She Said” 
Kerry Condon – “The Banshees of Inisherin” 
Anne Hathaway – “Armageddon Time” 
Judith Ivey – “Women Talking” 
Tang Wei – “Decision to Leave” 

Original Screenplay: 

Empire of Light (c) Searchlight Films

Frontrunners: 
“Babylon” 
“The Banshees of Inisherin” 
“Everything Everywhere All at Once” 
“The Fabelmans” 
“TÁR” 

 Possible: 
“Bardo” 
“Decision to Leave” 
“Empire of Light” 
“No Bears” 
“Triangle of Sadness” 

Adapted Screenplay: 

Marcel the Shell with Shoes On (c) A24

Frontrunners: 
“After Yang” 
“Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery” 
“Living” 
"She Said” 
“Women Talking” 

Possible: 
“Avatar: The Way of Water”
“Marcel The Shell with Shoes On ” 
“The Northman” 
“The Whale” 
“White Noise” 

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