Monday, February 21, 2022

Oscar Predictions - February 2022

The Interested Bystander's Oscar Predictions (Ranked)


The Power of the Dog (c) Netflix


After a couple of weeks of sitting with the nominations, here are my rankings of who I think is going to win, before the other awards (SAG, CRITICS CHOICE, DGA, PGA) are announced.  And while Timothee Chalamet was in two of the nominated Best Pictures, so was Bradley Cooper.   So you can call these the Timmys or the Coops.


BEST PICTURE 

The Power of the Dog 
Belfast 
CODA 
Dune 
West Side Story 
King Richard 
Licorice Pizza 
Don’t Look Up 
Nightmare Alley 
Drive My Car 


Spencer (c) Neon

ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE 

Jessica Chastain, The Eyes of Tammy Faye 
Olivia Colman, The Lost Daughter 
Nicole Kidman, Being the Ricardos 
Kristen Stewart, Spencer 
Penélope Cruz, Parallel Mothers 


ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE 

Will Smith, King Richard 
Andrew Garfield, tick, tick...BOOM! 
Benedict Cumberbatch, The Power of the Dog 
Javier Bardem, Being the Ricardos 
Denzel Washington, The Tragedy of Macbeth 


ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE 

Ariana DeBose, West Side Story 
Kirsten Dunst, The Power of the Dog 
Aunjanue Ellis, King Richard 
Jessie Buckley, The Lost Daughter 
Judi Dench, Belfast 


ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE 

Kodi Smit-McPhee, The Power of the Dog 
Troy Kotsur, CODA 
Ciarán Hinds, Belfast 
Jesse Plemons, The Power of the Dog 
J.K. Simmons, Being the Ricardos 


DIRECTING 

Jane Campion, The Power of the Dog 
Steven Spielberg, West Side Story 
Kenneth Branagh, Belfast 
Paul Thomas Anderson, Licorice Pizza 
Ryusuke Hamaguchi, Drive My Car 


Dune (c) Warner Bros Pictures

ADAPTED SCREENPLAY 

The Power of the Dog 
The Lost Daughter 
CODA 
Drive My Car 
Dune 


ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY 

Belfast 
Licorice Pizza 
Don’t Look Up 
King Richard 
The Worst Person in the World 


INTERNATIONAL FEATURE FILM 

Drive My Car 
The Worst Person in the World 
Flee 
The Hand of God 
Lunana: A Yak in the Classroom 


The Mitchells vs The Machines (c) Netflix

ANIMATED FEATURE FILM 

Encanto 
Flee 
The Mitchells vs. The Machines 
Luca 
Raya and the Last Dragon 


DOCUMENTARY FEATURE 

Flee 
Summer of Soul (...Or, When the Revolution Could Not Be Televised) 
Ascension 
Attica 
Writing with Fire 


CINEMATOGRAPHY 

Dune 
The Power of the Dog 
West Side Story 
Nightmare Alley 
The Tragedy of Macbeth 


Nightmare Alley(c) Searchlight Pictures

COSTUME DESIGN 

Cruella 
Dune 
West Side Story 
Cyrano 
Nightmare Alley 


FILM EDITING 

Dune 
The Power of the Dog 
tick, tick...BOOM! 
King Richard 
Don’t Look Up 


ORIGINAL SCORE 

Dune 
Encanto 
The Power of the Dog 
Don’t Look Up 
Parallel Mothers 


Four Good Days (c) Vertical Entertainment 

ORIGINAL SONG 

“Dos Oruguitas” from Encanto 
“No Time to Die” from No Time to Die 
“Somehow You Do” from Four Good Days 
“Be Alive” from King Richard 
“Down To Joy” from Belfast 


PRODUCTION DESIGN 

Dune 
Nightmare Alley 
The Power of the Dog 
West Side Story 
The Tragedy of Macbeth
 


SOUND 

Dune 
The Power of the Dog 
No Time to Die 
West Side Story 
Belfast 


ANIMATED SHORT FILM 

Robin Robin 
The Windshield Wiper 
Bestia 
Boxballet 
Affairs of the Art
 


Ala Kachuu - Take and Run (c) ALa Kachuu

LIVE ACTION SHORT FILM 

The Long Goodbye 
Ala Kachuu - Take and Run 
The Dress 
Please Hold 
On My Mind 


DOCUMENTARY SHORT SUBJECT 

The Queen of Basketball 
Three Songs for Benazir 
When We Were Bullies 
Lead Me Home 
Audible 


MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING 

The Eyes of Tammy Faye 
Dune 
Coming 2 America 
Cruella 
House of Gucci 


Free Guy (c) 20th Century Studios

VISUAL EFFECTS 

Dune 
Spider-Man: No Way Home 
No Time to Die 
Shang-Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings 
Free Guy
  


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